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Clark Square · Special Situations
Deal Spread Monitor
Spreads as of Friday, September 25 · at market close
| Target | Acquirer | Offer | Current | Gross spread | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Going-Private45 deals | |||||
| Global Lithium ResourcesGL1.AX | Titan Australia Mining | A$1.15 | A$1.01 | +14.4% | early to mid-Jan 2027 |
| EQT Holdings LimitedEQT.AX | BGH Capital Pty | A$24.75 ◆ | A$21.85 | +13.3% | – |
| Cloopen Group Holding LimitedRAASY | Springx | $2.96 | $2.65 | +11.8% | Q4 2026 |
| Omnia Holdings LimitedOMN.JO | Solar Industries India | ZAR 134.50 | ZAR 122.39 | +9.9% | early-to-mid 2027 |
| Definitive Healthcare Corp.DH | Advent International | $1.020 | $0.945 | +7.9% | – |
| easyJetEZJ.L | Apollo Global Management | 715p | 675p | +5.9% | Mar 2027 |
| Perfect Corp.PERF | Projectny | $2.00 | $1.90 | +5.3% | Q4 2026 |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc.CZR | Fertitta Entertainment | $31.00 | $29.59 | +4.8% | H1 2027 |
| Steadfast GroupSDF.AX | Amwins Dragoneer KKR Consortium | A$6.00 | A$5.74 | +4.5% | Dec 2026 |
| The Marygold Companies Inc.MGLD | Madison Dearborn Partners | $2.00 | $1.93 | +3.6% | first half of 2027 or earlier |
| Priority Technology Holdings, Inc.PRTH | Wd Capital Partners Parent | $8.05 | $7.78 | +3.5% | first half of 2027 |
| Payoneer Global Inc.PAYO | Nuvei | $7.40 ◆ | $7.17 | +3.2% | mid-2027 |
| Nagarro SENA9.DE | Persistent Systems | €81.00 | €78.75 | +2.9% | Q4 2026/Q1 2027 |
| oOh!mediaOML.AX | I Squared Capital | A$1.70 | A$1.66 | +2.7% | Q4 2026 |
| ReNew Energy Global PlcRNW | CPP Investments & Sumant Sinha | $7.02 | $6.84 | +2.6% | – |
| PT Solusi Tunas Pratama TbkSUPR.JK | Pt Profesional Telekomunikasi Indonesia | IDR 45,000.00 | IDR 43,850.00 | +2.6% | Oct 21, '26 |
| Accelerant HoldingsARX | Thoma Bravo | $20.25 | $19.75 | +2.5% | first half of 2027 |
| Varex Imaging CorporationVREX | Teledyne | $18.90 | $18.45 | +2.4% | early 2027 |
| Eleco PLCELCO.L | Accel-KKR | 235p | 230p | +2.2% | Q1 2027 |
| Time FinanceTIME.L | Bentley Park | 59.1p | 57.9p | +2.1% | Q4 2026 |
| Baldwin Insurance GroupBWIN | Dfo Management And Sequence | $32.50 | $31.85 | +2.0% | Q1 2027 |
| Datapulse Technology LimitedBKW.SI | Ang Kong Meng | S$0.155 | S$0.152 | +2.0% | – |
| Spire Healthcare Group plcSPI.L | Toscafund Three Hills Ares Management | 250p | 245.5p | +1.8% | Q4 2026/Q1 2027 |
| MarineMax, Inc.HZO | Safe Harbor Marinas | $53.00 | $52.44 | +1.1% | 2026 |
| Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.BWMN | Bernhard Capital Partners | $43.00 | $42.57 | +1.0% | Q4 2026 |
| Advanced Medical Solutions Group plcAMS.L | Hb Fuller | 285p | 282.5p | +0.9% | Dec 31, '26 |
| ROBOT, S.A.RBT.MC | Hms Industrial Networks Slu | €6.25 | €6.20 | +0.8% | Dec 1, '26 |
| Eurobio Scientific SAALERS.PA | Eb Development | €25.30 | €25.10 | +0.8% | – |
| Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.BOW | American Family Mutual Insurance Si | $34.00 | $33.76 | +0.7% | H2 2026 |
| Luxfer Holdings PLCLXFR | Wynnchurch Capital LP | $17.37 | $17.25 | +0.7% | H2 2026 |
| Weave Communications, Inc.WEAV | Willow Parent | $7.40 | $7.35 | +0.7% | Q4 2026 |
| CBIZ, Inc.CBZ | Viking Parentco | $55.00 | $54.68 | +0.6% | Q4 2026 |
| LXP Industrial TrustLXP | Leopard Reit | $61.20 | $60.88 | +0.5% | Jan 19, '27 |
| Integer Holdings CorporationITGR | KKR | $127.00 | $126.34 | +0.5% | 2026 |
| eSOL Co., Ltd.4420.T | Bain Capital | ¥820 | ¥818 | +0.2% | Oct 19, '26 |
| Roots CorporationROOT.TO | Marquee Brands | C$4.10 | C$4.09 | +0.2% | Q4 fiscal 2026 |
| Simulations Plus, Inc.SLP | Altaris | $18.50 | $18.46 | +0.2% | H2 2026 |
| baudroie, inc.4413.T | BCPE Neon Cayman, LP. | ¥2,970 ◆ | ¥2,964 | +0.2% | Oct 5, '26 |
| Penske Automotive Group, Inc.PAG | Penske And Mitsui | $210.00 | $209.62 | +0.2% | – |
| Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.DSGR | LKCM Headwater Investments | $35.00 | $34.96 | +0.1% | Dec 31, '26 |
| Utz Brands, Inc.UTZ | Intersnack | $14.25 | $14.24 | +0.1% | – |
| Gamma Communications PLCGAMA.L | Epiris | 1,120p | 1,122p | -0.2% | H1 2027 |
| Bodycote plcBOY.L | Veritas Capital | 940p | 946.5p | -0.7% | – |
| Leopalace21 Corporation8848.T | – | ¥1,000 | ¥1,030 | -2.9% | – |
| Anghami Inc.ANGH | Osn Streaming | $3.75 | $3.88 | -3.3% | – |
| Tender Offers23 deals | |||||
| Exail TechnologiesEXA.PA | Thales | €134.00 | €124.50 | +7.6% | early 2028 |
| Sturm Ruger & Co IncRGR | Beretta | $44.80 | $42.81 | +4.7% | Oct 15, '26 |
| Shelly GroupSLYG.DE | Schneider Electric | €70.00 | €67.00 | +4.5% | – |
| Fnac DartyFNAC.PA | EP Group | €35.00 | €34.50 | +1.4% | YE 2026 |
| Utah Medical Products, Inc.UTMD | Issuer | $75.00 | $74.18 | +1.1% | Oct 7, '26 |
| Reway Group S.p.A.RWY.MI | Rinova Bidco | €10.31 | €10.20 | +1.1% | – |
| BASE Corporation4477.T | Sbinm GK | ¥340 | ¥337 | +0.9% | Sep 30, '26 |
| Dentsu Soken Inc.4812.T | Vic | ¥2,880 | ¥2,860 | +0.7% | – |
| PLC S.p.A.PLC.MI | pendant power s p a | €3.08 | €3.06 | +0.7% | – |
| Reef Casino TrustRCT.AX | Iris Cairns Property Pty | A$4.67 ◆ | A$4.64 | +0.7% | Nov 9, '26 |
| Valtecne S.p.A.VLT.MI | Valblue Bidco Srl | €11.87 | €11.80 | +0.6% | – |
| PolyPeptide Group AGPPGN.SW | Samsung Biologics | CHF 44.31 | CHF 44.10 | +0.5% | Oct 12, '26 |
| Albis Corporation7475.T | Life | ¥3,780 | ¥3,765 | +0.4% | Nov 10, '26 |
| ACV Auctions Inc.ACVA | Copart | $10.50 | $10.46 | +0.4% | YE 2026 |
| Kip McGrath Education Centres LimitedKME.AX | Crimson Consulting Australia Pty | A$0.730 ◆ | A$0.728 | +0.3% | Oct 14, '26 |
| OCI N.V.OCI.AS | NNS | €4.10 | €4.09 | +0.3% | Nov 17, '26 |
| Elmera Group ASAELMRA.OL | Fortum Consumer Solutions | NOK 47.00 | NOK 46.85 | +0.3% | Oct 2, '26 |
| Sharingtechnology, Inc.3989.T | Mp 2606 | ¥1,550 | ¥1,545 | +0.3% | Nov 4, '26 |
| JPMC Corporation3276.T | Amsterdam1 / Amsterdam2 | ¥2,270 ◆ | ¥2,265 | +0.2% | Oct 13, '26 |
| Iveco GroupIVG.MI | Tata Motors | €14.10 | €14.11 | -0.0% | Oct 30, '26 |
| Hugo Boss AGBOSS.DE | Frasers | €38.00 | €38.14 | -0.4% | – |
| Haiki+ S.p.A.HIK.MI | Sg Srl | €0.900 | €0.905 | -0.6% | – |
| RecordatiREC.MI | Respighi BidCo | €51.29 | €53.05 | -3.3% | – |
| Mergers & Schemes22 deals | |||||
| Delivery Hero SEDHER.DE | Uber Technologies | €41.50 | €36.30 | +14.3% | second half of 2027 |
| Pharos Energy PLCPHAR.L | Ratio Petroleum Energy | 32.82p | 30.1p | +9.0% | H1 2027 |
| Mitie Group plcMTO.L | Ocs International | 221.6p | 210.2p | +5.4% | Q1 2027 |
| Lomiko Metals Inc.LMR.V | Global Battery Materials | C$0.130 | C$0.125 | +4.0% | shortly after week of Sep 28, 2026 |
| Rotork plcROR.L | Abb Automation Uk | 503p | 485.6p | +3.6% | H1 2027 |
| Lantheus Holdings, Inc.LNTH | Curium Us | $102.50 ◆ | $99.74 | +2.8% | first half of 2027 |
| LiveRamp Holdings, Inc.RAMP | Publicis Groupe | $38.50 ◆ | $37.50 | +2.7% | Q4 2026 |
| Techno Mathematical Co., Ltd.3787.T | Aval Data Corporation | ¥690 | ¥676 | +2.1% | Dec 3, '26 |
| MarketAxess Holdings Inc.MKTX | Intercontinental Exchange | $167.00 | $164.19 | +1.7% | H1 2027 |
| Safety Insurance Group, Inc.SAFT | Mapfre | $105.00 | $103.51 | +1.4% | Q1 2027 |
| DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.DV | Nielsen | $13.60 | $13.41 | +1.4% | Q4 2026 |
| NSTS Bancorp, Inc.NSTS | Brookfield Bancshares | $14.28 | $14.12 | +1.1% | Q4 2026 |
| IHS Holding LimitedIHS | Mtn | $8.50 | $8.43 | +0.8% | – |
| Pinewood Technologies Group PLCPINE.L | Ridgeview Partners | £4.48 | £4.45 | +0.8% | H2 2026 |
| Jamieson Wellness Inc.JWEL.TO | Kirin | C$45.75 | C$45.44 | +0.7% | Q4 2026 |
| Bio-Techne CorporationTECH | Merck Kgaa Darmstadt Germany | $73.00 ◆ | $72.61 | +0.5% | late 2026 or early 2027 |
| Atkore Inc.ATKR | Prysmian | $95.00 ◆ | $94.57 | +0.5% | Q4 2026 |
| Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBD | Paramount Skydance | $31.00 | $30.86 | +0.5% | Q3 2026 |
| Nathan's Famous, Inc.NATH | Smithfield Foods | $102.00 | $101.55 | +0.4% | H2 2026 |
| Beazer Homes USA, Inc.BZH | Dream Finders Homes | $33.50 | $33.37 | +0.4% | Q4 2026 |
| Harworth Group PLCHWG.L | Peel Pepper | 187p | 187p | +0.0% | Oct 25, '26 |
| Dianomi plcDNM.L | Taboola Europe | 64p | 66p | -3.0% | 2026 |
◆ Term extracted from the primary filing.
Gross spread = offer ÷ current price − 1. Native currencies are preserved; no synthetic conversions. Contingent value rights (CVRs) are not counted in the spread.
Activist Campaigns
Whitbread plc WTB.L (UK) · GBp 2,348 · MCAP $5.2B · EV $12.1B
Fwd P/E: 13.3x · Fwd EV/EBITDA: 8.8x · Fwd EV/GP: 7.1x · LTM EV/Sales: 3.1x
Whitbread plc operates hotels and restaurants in the United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates hotels under the Premier Inn, ZIP by Premier Inn, and hub by Premier Inn brands.
Activist Board Seat Demand
Reported 2026-09-25
The buyer believes Whitbread could double its share price in three to five years and has requested a fact-based review of the company's German business. Whitbread has publicly defended its German expansion, which involved investing £1.1 billion (~$1.5B) into 11,500 rooms over eight years. This UK activist campaign targets strategy and capital allocation at a FTSE 100 hospitality group, with Corvex shifting from calling for a sale to demanding board representation.
SDCL Efficiency Income Trust plc SEIT.L (UK) · GBp 35 · MCAP $498M · EV $496M
SDCL Energy Efficiency Income Trust PLC invests in energy efficiency projects.
Board Representation in Wind-Down · Next Catalyst (Shareholder Vote) 2026-10-15 (19 Days)
Announced 2026-09-25
Saba Capital Management, L.P. and General Atlantic SD (Bermuda), L.P. are seeking board representation at SDCL Efficiency Income Trust plc (SEIT.L) to oversee the trust's wind-down. Shareholders will vote on these appointments at a General Meeting on 15 October 2026. The board unanimously recommends voting in favor of both resolutions. The two largest shareholders are placing representatives on the board to gain direct input into the pace and value of asset disposals and capital returns.
KH Neochem Co., Ltd. 4189.T (JP) · ¥3,300.00 · MCAP $735M · EV $809M
Fwd P/E: 10.7x · Fwd EV/EBITDA: 5.5x · Fwd EV/GP: 4.8x · LTM EV/Sales: 1.2x · LTM EV/GP: 4.8x
KH Neochem Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells of petrochemical products in Japan and internationally.
Chemicals
Large Shareholding Report with Activist Agenda
Announced 2026-09-25
The shareholder-return proposal has been revised from 'share buybacks or dividend increases' to 'implementation of dividends with a payout ratio of 100%'. The revised proposal is planned to be communicated to KH Neochem during September 2026. Other proposals include major changes to capital policy using interest-bearing debt and transfer, suspension, or discontinuation of all or part of the basic chemicals business. 6.8 million shares are held as client asset management under an investment discretionary agreement with Intertrust Trustees (Cayman) Limited.
Six Flags Entertainment FUN (US) · $12.32 · MCAP $1.3B · EV $6.5B
Fwd EV/EBITDA: 8.1x · Fwd EV/GP: 5.6x · LTM EV/Sales: 2.1x · LTM EV/GP: 5.7x
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America.
Consumer Cyclical / Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Activist Campaign
Announced 2026-09-23
Activist investor Jana Partners is pressuring Six Flags Entertainment's board to pursue a sale. Six Flags reported a loss of $203 million last month, compared to $100 million a year ago. Revenue dropped 9% to $864.92 million. Jana Partners announced last October it was teaming up with other investors, including Travis Kelce, to push for changes at Six Flags. Six Flags hired John Reilly as its new CEO in November, a move Jana applauded. In March, Six Flags announced a deal to sell seven parks to EPR Properties.
Knife River Corporation KNF (US) · $54.58 · MCAP $3.1B · EV $4.7B
Fwd P/E: 17.9x · Fwd EV/EBITDA: 8.8x · Fwd EV/GP: 8.0x · LTM EV/Sales: 1.4x · LTM EV/GP: 8.0x
Knife River Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides aggregates-based construction materials and contracting services in the United States. The company operates through West, Mountain, Central, and Energy Services segments.
Activist Stake Disclosure with Strategic Alternatives Demand
Reported 2026-09-25
Starboard Value disclosed a position in Knife River Corporation (KNF) and sent a letter to management demanding a plan to deliver at least 22% adjusted EBITDA by fiscal 2029. The buyer stated the board should consider strategic alternatives if the company cannot meet this target. Knife River defended its management and strategy but said it would engage with Starboard. Shares closed up 3.8% on the news. The entry creates a strategic-alternatives overhang, as Starboard will push for a sale if the company cannot credibly commit to the EBITDA target.
PepsiCo PEP (US) · $128.63 · MCAP $175.6B · EV $218.2B
Fwd P/E: 14.8x · Fwd EV/EBITDA: 11.1x · Fwd EV/GP: 4.2x · LTM EV/Sales: 2.3x · LTM EV/GP: 4.2x
PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through six segments: PepsiCo Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; International Beverages Franchise; Europe, Middle East and Africa.
Consumer Defensive / Beverages
Activist Pressure and Pricing Reversal
Reported 2026-09-25
Elliott now owns a stake worth roughly $4 billion in PepsiCo (PEP) and is pushing the company to divest non-core units and strengthen its carbonated soft drink business. After February price cuts of up to 15%, PepsiCo will raise prices on select snack and soft drink packages by low-to-mid single-digit percentages in late 2026 or early 2027; the new list prices will remain below pre-cut levels. Joaquin Duato will join the board as an independent director effective December 1, 2026. The company reports third-quarter results on October 8. Elliott's push for divestitures and the pricing response to margin pressure make the October 8 earnings print the next hard data point.
PRF Technologies Ltd. PRFX (US) · $0.98 · MCAP $3M · EV -$7M (negative EV reflects cash in excess of market value)
PRF Technologies Ltd., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on reformulation of established therapeutics in Israel.
Healthcare / Pharmaceuticals
Activist Board Contest
Announced 2026-09-24
S.H.N. Financial Investments Ltd. now owns 5.716% of PRF Technologies Ltd. (PRFX) and is seeking to replace the majority of the board (Schedule 13D). The buyer owns 200,000 ordinary shares and delivered a letter, demanding a special general meeting to remove all board members except Dr. Ellen S. Baron and Augustine Lawlor. S.H.N. intends to elect its own nominees to improve oversight and enhance shareholder value. This is an early-stage activist board contest at a micro-cap issuer.
Host Digital Inc. HOST · $6.14 · MCAP $173M
Host Digital Inc. is a digital infrastructure investment and development company formed through the September 2026 merger of Healthy Choice Wellness Corp. with Host Digital Infrastructure LLC, focused on large-scale real estate and infrastructure projects in the United States.
13D Activist Stake Disclosure
Reported 2026-09-24
Hans Thomas now owns 38.9% of Host Digital Inc. (HOST) through 10X MASTER LLC (Schedule 13D). The stake dates to September 17, 2026, when Host Digital completed its merger with Host Digital Infrastructure LLC. Thomas intends to communicate with the board, management, and other shareholders regarding governance, control, business, and operations. A 38.9% holder filing a 13D with stated intent to engage on governance and control is a de facto activist position following the post-merger share issuance.
Primo Global Holdings Co., Ltd. 367A.T (JP) · ¥2,886.00 · MCAP $161M · EV $263M
Fwd P/E: 9.2x · Fwd EV/GP: 2.2x · LTM EV/Sales: 1.3x · LTM EV/GP: 2.2x
Primo Global Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bridal jewelry business in Japan, Mainland China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore.
Activist Stake Disclosure
Announced 2026-09-24
MI2 Co., Ltd. and Takaki Murakami now own 12.35% of Primo Global Holdings Co., Ltd. (367A.T), increasing their combined stake from 11.35% (large shareholding report). The filers hold 1.1 million shares and intend to propose capital policy and corporate governance changes, specifically dividend increases, share buybacks, and take-private measures. The filing indicates possible additional purchases exceeding 5% of the holding ratio within three months if the stock is judged undervalued. 124,300 of MI2's shares are pledged as collateral substitute securities with SBI Securities. This filing clears the holders to push for buybacks, dividends, or a going-private transaction.
Wacom Co., Ltd. 6727.T (JP) · ¥880.00 · MCAP $743M · EV $683M
Fwd P/E: 11.8x · Fwd EV/EBITDA: 6.7x · Fwd EV/GP: 2.6x · LTM EV/Sales: 1.0x · LTM EV/GP: 2.6x
Wacom Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells pen tablets and related software in Japan and internationally.
Electric Appliances
Large Shareholding Report
Announced 2026-09-24
The filer has proposed that Wacom set a dividend payout ratio target of 65%. The filer states its holding purpose is pure investment, but it may make significant proposals including changes to dividend and capital policies, officer composition, and business disposition. The filer acquired shares both on-market and off-market between 2026-07-21 and 2026-09-14 at prices ranging from 742 to 854 yen per share.